@Article{ZwienerPaMaFaLoPe:2017:PlCoRe,
author = "Zwiener, Victor P. and Padial, Andr{\'e} A. and Marques,
M{\'a}rcia C. M. and Faleiro, Frederico V. and Loyola, Rafael and
Peterson, A. Townsend",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal do Paran{\'a} (UFPR)} and {Universidade
Federal do Paran{\'a} (UFPR)} and {Universidade Federal do
Paran{\'a} (UFPR)} and {Universidade Federal de Goi{\'a}s (UFG)}
and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{University of Kansas}",
title = "Planning for conservation and restoration under climate and land
use change in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest",
journal = "Diversity and Distributions",
year = "2017",
volume = "23",
number = "8",
pages = "955--966",
month = "Aug.",
keywords = "Aichi targets, climate change, ecological restoration, land use
change, MaxEnt, spatial conservation prioritization, species
distribution modelling, Zonation.",
abstract = "AimTo propose and compare priority sites for conservation and
restoration of woody plants under diverse climate and land use
scenarios, considering socio-economic costs, presence of protected
areas and distribution of forest remnants. LocationThe Atlantic
Forest Biodiversity Hotspot, Brazil. MethodsWe used ecological
niche modelling to estimate geographical distributions for 2,255
species under current and future climate scenarios, which we
analysed in relation to spatially explicit land use projections,
maps of forest remnants derived from remote sensing and
socio-economic variables for each municipality within the Atlantic
Forest region. We identified spatial priorities that complement
the current network of protected areas under three different
prioritization scenarios: (1) conservation of existing forest
remnants only; (2) conservation of remnants followed by
restoration of degraded habitat; and (3) unconstrained actions, in
which management location is not defined a priori. We compared our
results under different levels of land protection, with targets of
10%, 17% and 20% of the Atlantic Forest extent. ResultsCurrent
forest remnants cover only 12% of the Atlantic Forest, so targets
of 17% and 20% were achieved only through active restoration.
Targets of 17% and 20% captured most species and represented on
average 26%-34% of species' distributions. The spatial pattern of
degraded habitats negatively affected representation of
biodiversity and implied higher costs and reduced efficiency of
planning. We did not observe major differences between
conservation prioritizations based on contrasting climate change
scenarios. Main conclusionsProtection of forest remnants alone
will not suffice to safeguard woody plant species under climate
and land use changes; therefore, restoration actions are urgently
needed in the Atlantic Forest. With integrated management actions
and multicriterion nationwide planning, reaching the 17% of land
protection of Aichi biodiversity targets will constitute an
important step towards protecting Atlantic Forest biodiversity.",
doi = "10.1111/ddi.12588",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12588",
issn = "1366-9516",
language = "en",
targetfile = "zwiener_planning.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}